I have a problem. It's a gift but it's a compulsive obsession - I love to cover NFL point spreads. It's something that comes so naturally to me, primarily because its rooted in my upbringing:

Part of my success comes from playing multiple sports growing up, including on national, collegiate and Pre-Olympic levels, which gave me a strong understanding of athletes, coaches and their mentality in readying for opponents. Another large part of my success is my background in engineering, by attending a top 20 engineering school, and my training and years served as a licensed Professional Engineer that developed strong critical thinking tools with an advanced mathematics background. Lastly, its the hardworking mentality I was raised with and the brain-training ability I was taught that allows me to focus on real factors that determine game outcomes, and ignore aspects that may be flashier and garner national attention in sports TV and the internet.

When you combine these factors, you can see that the groundwork was laid long before today which gave me the skills to passionately research, expertly handicap and skillfully share my research with you. You will notice the difference between me and other handicappers simply by reading some of my play write-ups, which I am pleased to present below. Covering NFL points spreads is not just a hobby, it's a true passion of mine. It's second nature to me to analyze these games in this manner, and it is in this manner that I have been able to sustain unparalleled success. While others may claim to be the best handicappers, there are none that combine the long-term winning record along with the in-depth analysis shared weekly w/ clients.

Below is a glimpse of a few of my "Personal Plays" I offered last year to clients. These Personal Plays beat 58% last year and they are 59% lifetime, beating 58% in 3 of my 4 seasons. You will notice I back underdogs and favorites equally, and I don't really care if I am fading or riding with the public. The entire focus is finding the right situations to play or fade a team and thereby cover NFL point spreads.

9/12/10 || 478 Washington Redskins +3.5

The strongest trend play of the week, based upon 6 strong trends, which have gone a remarkable 53-9 (85%) ATS, on the back of an extremely strong undefeated 12-0 (100%) ATS trend and a truly great 8-1 (89%) ATS trend over the last 3 seasons.

• If a team lost in primetime in their most recent meeting with an opponent, and scored just 9 or fewer points in that loss, they are 12-0 ATS and 11-1 SU in their next meeting the following season. The Redskins lost to the Cowboys last season on SNF in Week 16, 17-0.
• In the first month of the season, when a 11+ win team from last year plays their division opponent who had 5 or fewer wins the prior year, and the better team is favored by 7 or fewer points, they are 1-8 ATS since 2007 and a remarkable 2-7 SU, losing outright by an avg of 7 ppg and failing to cover the spread by 11 ppg.
• Since 2006, the Redskins are 5-1 SU/ATS as home underdogs of between 3 and 6 points on Sunday. That's right, they won 5 of 6 games outright.
• In his career, Mike Shanahan is 15-1 SU and 10-4-2 ATS in home openers, winning SU by an average of 12 ppg. There is no coach in NFL history who has coached at least 16 seasons and has won more home openers than Mike Shanahan.
• Mike Shanahan went through a stretch w/ the Broncos from 1994 thru 2004 where he went 8-2 SU/ATS in week 1, with the only losses coming as a favorite of between 5 and 8.5 points
• Under Mike Shanahan, the Broncos went a remarkable 11-1-1 ATS as underdogs in the first 6 weeks of the season, so long as they were not double digit underdogs. In this role they went 8-5 SU as well.
• In the first 7 weeks of the season, when favored by 3.5 points or fewer, the Cowboys are 2-7 ATS and just 3-6 SU. They went 0-2 SU/ATS last season.

There is almost no bigger coaching change in the last handful of years than firing Jim Zorn and hiring Mike Shanahan. It could be that Zorn isn't even a head coach, he's a QB coach at best, not deserving of his OC position or HC position, which is why he's back to being a QB coach in Baltimore. Or the fact that Mike Shanahan actually has credibility and has the players believing in him, both qualities Jim Zorn lacked. The Cowboys are defending division winners and we have a very strong trend that when those teams play division losers of 5 or fewer wins the prior season, they struggle mightly, both ATS and SU. The Redskins will be a vastly different team than the team the Cowboys beat 17-0 in Week 16 last season on SNF. While the Redskins have struggled in a big way in primetime games the last 2 seasons (0-7 SU/ATS) I feel this was more of a coaching thing under Zorn. Shanahan had his teams ready to play on Primetime, going 34-25 ATS including 10-3 ATS as an underdog of over 3 points. The popular play is the Cowboys. We'll fade the public for a 4 rd time this week (including my free play) and take the home dog Redskins.

2010, Week 3. Dallas Cowboys +3 road dogs to the Houston Texans. Dallas was 0-2 and Houston was 2-0 at the time, 56% of Public Bets on Houston. Dallas won outright, 27-13. Sharp's Pick and Write-Up:

9/26/10 || 415 Dallas Cowboys +3 (-130)

This play is based on 5 strong trends, including an one that is an undefeated 14-0 (100%) ATS angle, that have combined to go 93-12 (89%) ATS. It combines trends which play on the underdog and trends against the favorite. The undefeated 14-0 ATS trend has produced outright underdog winners in over 71% of the games to which it applied.

• My #57 overall trend is an undefeated 14-0 ATS since 2001 and plays against the Texans this week.
• The Cowboys are 13-1-1 ATS after back to back losses since 1999, so long as they were not underdogs of 12+ last week and are not underdogs of 6+ this week.
• Following a game in which they lost the turnover battle by 2 or more turnovers, the Cowboys are 38-14 ATS if the game is played on Sunday.
• If they also lost that game by over 4 points, they are 28-6-1 ATS the following week.
• Since 1998, when the Cowboys allowed their last opponent to score 10 more points than Vegas predicted they would score, the Cowboys are 20-3 ATS.
• Teams who won by 3 or fewer points last week, despite only punting 3 or fewer times, are 15-38 ATS since 2006.
• If this team is now favored at home the following week, they are 2-18 ATS.

2010, Week 11. Baltimore Ravens -11 home favs to the Carolina Panthers. 70% of Public Bets on Baltimore. Baltimore won 37-13. Sharp's Pick and Write-Up:

11/21/10 || 413 Baltimore Ravens -11

• Under John Fox, the Panthers have been considered a "great dog" team. In fact, from 2002 thru 2006, as road dogs of less than 9 points, the Panthers went 19-4 ATS, by far the single best ATS record in the league. However, since 2006 under the same parameters, they went 5-11 ATS. And the fact is, as home underdogs of over 2 points in a non-primetime game, they are 2-7 ATS since 2006. And the only 2 wins were against teams from the far west coast, traveling East for 1pm games. Seattle was favored by 7 and SF was favored by 3 (earlier this season) and both lost SU in Carolina.
• Teams who have won at least 55% of their games and are off a road loss between weeks 10-16 and are now road favorites of over 5 points to a team who has at least 1 win, then they are 16-1 SU and 11-5 ATS. Winning on average by 17 ppg and covering the average line by 9 ppg. If they have won at least 64% of their games (so a better than decent team) they are 10-1 ATS, the only failed cover was a team who had their playoff spot locked up in Week 16.
• The Panthers have 8 losses on the season, and here is how much they lost by: 13, 13, 13, 2, 17, 10, 31, 15.That's an average of 14 ppg. They have played 6 teams who currently have a winning record. Here is their game results: @ NYG (L by 13), vs TB (L by 13), @ NO (L by 2), vs Chi (L by 17), vs NO (L by 31), @ TB (L by 15).
• The Ravens are 8-2 ATS if they are above .500 and just lost last weekend and play a non-divisional opponent this weekend, if not favored by 13 or more.
• The Panthers only gain 250 YPG. That's the worst in the NFL. The Ravens are 19-3 SU and 16-6 ATS when facing a team who is averaging less than 290 ypg as long as the Ravens have won over 40% of their games. Since 2008 the Ravens are 7-1 SU/ATS.

Want to read more of Sharp's write-ups from last season? Register for free to become a VIP member and you can read more 2010 personal play write-ups on your profile page. Then purchase Sharp's NFL Regular Season Package and you'll have the answer to the question - How is it possible to cover NFL point spreads at a high rate? You don't need the self-proclaimed and overpriced "best handicappers" out there. You need the handicapper who was born and bred with the skills and talent it takes to cover NFL point spreads. Sharp is fully guaranteeing these Personal Plays will beat 58% each month this season. He was the only handicapper to offer such a bold guarantee last year, and he's doing it again this year. Right behind Sharp's Computer Totals (65% lifetime), particularly his Computer Overs Plays (59-12, 83% lifetime), these Personal Plays are Sharp's strongest offerings.